2011 Herbert Power winner Shewan in doubt for Melbourne Cup

October 10th, 2011

Master trainer Robert Smerdon wasn’t getting too carried
away with Shewan’s  win in the 2011 Group
2 Herbert Power Handicap (2400m) at Caulfield on Saturday.

While the result gets Shewan into the 2011 Group 1 Melbourne
Cup (3200m) at Flemington on November 1,  Smerdon is unsure whether to take up the
opportunity.

Connections of Shewan didn’t bother paying up for the 2011  Caulfield Cup (2400m) on October 15 believing
the race for the son of Blevic came up too quickly after the 2011 Group 2
Herbert Power Stakes (2400m) at Caulfield.

Stable foreman Henry Dwyer put doubt on a Melbourne Cup start;
“It’s not a fait accompli that he’ll go to the Melbourne Cup, we’ll just give
him a run between then, something like the Saab (Lexus Quality on Derby Day),
and if he comes through it well we’ll obviously go to it but he’s still
progressing and maturing and we’ll just play it by ear.”

With an assessment like that one must question the rest of
the field who finished behind Shewan in 2011 Group 2 Herbert Power Stakes
(2400m).

The best of them was UK import Mayenne Corniche who made
steady ground in the straight without looking like the winner.

Luxbet have both Shewan and Mayenne Corniche both at $41
for the 2011 Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m).

It reflects the moderate record of Herbert Power Stakes winners
in the Melbourne Cup .

Rogan Josh (1999) is the only horse to achieved the double
since Arwon in 1978.

The 2011 Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m) currently has two equal
favourites with Luxbet.

The 2010 Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m) winner Americain has
been joined by another import Lucas Cranach whose campaign is being run by five-time
Melbourne Cup winning trainer Lee Freedman.

In a bookmaker’s statement about December Draw’s staying ability,
Luxbet has the Mark Kavanagh trained galloper a $2.60 favourite for the Saturday’s
Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400) in front of Lucas Cranach at $10 yet December Draw
is quoted at $11 for the 2011 Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m).